Awards Season Feature Post

Awards Season 2015-16 Scoreboard

Carol Keeping a tally of the (wins/nominations) for this year's awards season. Scroll down way below to see which Awards are being...

Sep 12, 2015

Academy Awards 2016 - Early Predictions


I can never explain clearly to anyone this need of mine to predict the Oscars, early or late. Since I am not a renowned critic or awards watcher, this need clearly doesn't stem from being the first one to predict something that may or may not happen months from now or well, being obligated to do it as part of my job. I like doing this even though most of what we want to see nominated or win doesn't, same goes for critics and their favorites. Internet buzz and critical acclaim doesn't transfer usually into Oscar love because the voters are the industry. Their mindset or their decision-making isn't to award the best art but the film that needs to be awarded for its subject or a heartening story attached to it. A film that perhaps tells an inspiring story, that makes them look good. Despite all that is wrong with the way Academy works, we can't stop talking about it. Every year we discuss how Academy needs to change its attitude towards film and filmmaking, to adapt to new ways and change their ancient ways of thinking, more diversity in age, gender, race etc. Filmmakers from around the world keep on making what they want to, festivals are more interesting and the Oscars are now reduced to well, a ceremony rather than a phenomenon that influences movie lovers or general population.

So this year (just like last), I wont be predicting film that hasn't had a general or festival release. Wont even mention them. As I write this post, the Toronto International Film Festival has had its premiere, Venice is about to end while Telluride ended a few days ago. Some films did emerge as potential players but at this point, you just can't tell. The films to watch are the ones that are about big men doing big things or inspirational stories of heroism and resilience.

Note: I am not adding Cary Fukunaga's Beasts of No Nation because of its release pattern, a single day online premiere/theatrical release has always meant ineligibility.

(Most likely contenders at this point, in alphabetical order, main categories.)

BEST PICTURE:


  • Black Mass
  • Brooklyn
  • Carol
  • Inside Out
  • Love & Mercy
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Room
  • Sicario
  • Spotlight
  • Steve Jobs
  • Suffragette
  • The Danish Girl
  • Youth


BEST DIRECTOR:


  • Scott Cooper, Black Mass
  • Todd Haynes, Carol
  • George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Lenny Abrahamson, Room
  • Denis Villeneuve, Sicario
  • Laszlo Nemes, Son of Saul
  • Thomas McCarthy, Spotlight
  • Danny Boyle, Steve Jobs
  • Sarah Gavron, Suffragette
  • Tom Hooper, The Danish Girl
  • Paolo Sorrentino, Youth


BEST LEAD ACTOR:


  • Johnny Depp, Black Mass
  • Tom Hardy, Legend
  • Michael Fassbender, Macbeth
  • Ian McKellen, Mr. Holmes
  • Geza Rohrig, Son of Saul
  • Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
  • Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
  • Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
  • Michael Caine, Youth


BEST LEAD ACTRESS:


  • Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
  • Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
  • Cate Blanchett, Carol
  • Lily Tomlin, Grandma
  • Charlize Theron, Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Brie Larson, Room
  • Emily Blunt, Sicario
  • Carey Mulligan, Suffragette
  • Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:


  • Tom Courtenay, 45 Years
  • Joel Edgerton, Black Mass
  • Paul Dano, Love & Mercy
  • Benicio Del Toro, Sicario
  • Michael Keaton, Spotlight
  • Jason Segel, The End of the Tour
  • Harvey Keitel, Youth


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:


  • Rooney Mara, Carol
  • Cynthia Nixon, James White
  • Elizabeth Banks, Love & Mercy
  • Joan Allen, Room
  • Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
  • Helena Bonham Carter, Suffragette
  • Jane Fonda, Youth


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:


  • Inside Out
  • Love and Mercy
  • Sicario
  • Son of Saul
  • Spotlight
  • Suffragette
  • Youth


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:


  • Black Mass
  • Brooklyn
  • Carol
  • Mad Max Fury Road
  • Room
  • Steve Jobs
  • The Danish Girl
  • The End of the Tour